NewsLatin AmericaThe final tango of the Mexican opposition alliance

The final tango of the Mexican opposition alliance

The president of the PRI, Alejandro Moreno, during an act of the Va por Mexico coalition.Mario Guzman (EFE)

It has been months since the whole country knows that the PRI national leader is a political corpse. It was also known that because he was unburied, because PAN members and PRD members did not properly get rid of him, Alito would be a dead weight, a cost in the image, in the polls, in the possibilities of the opposition alliance. So it should surprise few that we finally owe him the collapse of the coalition that wanted to confront President Lopez Obrador.

Alito did what he knows best. She saw for him, and only for him. He didn’t care about Mexico, or the opposition, or his party. Cornered, and threatened by a regime that does comply with its threats of imprisonment, Alejandro Moreno broke the opposition pact, trampled on his words and drank with a good face and intact verbiage the cup that the regime offered him.

Alito received instructions from the Army and understood that it was his last chance. That train called freedom would leave him if he did not comply with the military instruction to propose, and approve, a constitutional reform to perpetuate the delivery of security to the armed forces for four years.

What a way in which the president has started his fifth year in office. The Army is so loyal that it even lends itself to being used as a political battering ram to break down the opposition. Firm!

The regime change is going really well. No organized opposition in sight. With opposition parties on a slide towards irrelevance. The opposition alliance has died, will the opposition live again?

The opposing alliance was a monstrosity that sought to transform its defect into virtue. The National Action, Institutional Revolutionary and Democratic Revolution parties represent everything that the howling citizen repudiated at the polls in 2018.

After that defeat, the closest thing to cynicism was installed in those forces: it is not time for suicidal mea culpas, they said over and over again. The threat of populism will breathe life into us. Voters will return regretful of their fickleness.

Moved more by a nostalgia for the immediate past, incapable —even behind closed doors— of any self-criticism, flat on ideas, more inbred than royalty and refusing to concede that AMLO is a response to their regimes of corruption, negligence and cochupos, PAN, PRI and PRD believed that saying no to the president was enough to survive the six-year term within the budget.

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In each state election, reality has given them a setback, but they refuse to understand that either they renew themselves seriously, or they find an original, sincere and credible speech, and some presentable spokespersons for it, or —otherwise— they will end up reduced on the fringes of politics.

On top of that, this week they lost the only thing they had: they dropped the montage of what they swore forever, of what gave them hope: unity.

When the midterm election happened, some analysts breathed a sigh of relief. They thought and said, the danger of more constitutional reforms promoted by Andres Manuel had been averted. How wrong they were. And like them, how mistaken and naive were the PAN and PRD in tying their destiny to the PRI to even prevent other initiatives, to act together.

It is true that in those 2021 elections some urban areas seemed to agree with those who promoted a coalition opposition. AMLO was defeated in some entities and even lost key positions in his bastion in the capital. The president did not hide his anger, but in addition to ruminating bitterness, in that half time he decided changes for the complementary part. New Secretary of the Interior, new registration operators, Claudia scolded and shaken, and assault on an opposition that with very few victories got drunk with optimism.

PRI, PAN and PRD, and some of their sponsors (including commentators) underestimated the occupant of the National Palace.

But rather than a merit of the president, the opposition alliance has collapsed because it had feet of clay, because it was not anchored in the parties, in their militancy, in their programs, in the proposal for a future, but in their leaders, and for more INRI in these leaderships.

Because the alliance is genuinely prianista. It would have been better for the PRD to dissolve itself in a new progressive initiative to end up embraced by Alito Moreno and the PAN member Marko Cortes, two exponents of the political class that the left has always fought and suffered. Today veteran Jesus Zambrano reaps the shame of having believed Pena Nieto’s PRI, and the current PRI.

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The damage is not done. It’s just beginning. Divorces are traumatic and not infrequently both parties lose almost equally. Alito Moreno will break down what little credibility the PAN had left.

What a dilemma for Marko Cortes. His ally, who stole leading roles from him, who had the leadership in scrapping the president’s electrical reform initiative, has exposed him as a naive politician. Is there a worse combination than the one formulated by these two terms together?

Cortes has more governors and more seats in Congress. But he was not the pilot of the opposing alliance. That position was occupied by someone who said this week that he does not break with his opposition partners but will serve the government. And as if that were not enough, he will serve you in a far from trivial matter: he will be the instrument of further militarization for Mexico. The PRI betrays the country, a shirt that says.

This irresponsible and convincing tendency is nothing new. The PAN members of the past always knew it, today the corrupt PAN members take advantage of it, that there are. The novelty is that Marko Cortes believed that Alito and his people would change his nature because they were with him and against AMLO.

The most serious mistake of the PAN national leader is having supported Alito while for months he was exhibited in audios that, not because they were illegal, were innocuous or not very revealing. That the attacks came from the government was obvious, but it was not enough to defend the indefensible. They must have known that their ultimate responsibility was for the alliance to survive even if they fell or were displaced. A sin of arrogance, or a miscalculation, or the vanity of these leaders, or all of the above, summarize the fateful outcome of the coalition that even dreamed of running for the presidency in 2024.

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They were the alliance, and the president is mopping the floor with one of them. And the one on the ground has the self-confidence to swear that the alliance lives, that their fight continues. Marko’s dilemma is whether he gets rid of who betrayed him or forgives him. The man from Michoacan —what a novelty— does not seem to be on the right track.

It is very likely that Alito will indeed remain at the pinnacle of the PRI, which itself will become, at best, an archipelago: a party of isolated positions of power. Alito will be the president of the slow but inexorable disappearance of the party that ruled Mexico for practically an entire century. He will make history.

That extinction will be, we saw it this week, without honor; rendering poor services to society.

And Marko’s time will come when they tighten the so-called real estate cartel, or when the PAN governors begin to crack because, as local executives say every so often, no one can fight with the president. And with the empowered militia, we must add now, either. His martial fingers will also be snapped to urge him to pass laws.

In the PAN, it must be said, some salvageable voices will survive. In Congress from time to time some are heard. But unlike in the past, when they also had few expressions in parliaments or governments, the National Action leadership is not struggling to convince that there is another possible way, but to survive within the treasury. That is the priority of Marko and clique that has been with him for a long time.

With the exception of Movimiento Ciudadano, with so much to show but so far from really regretting today, the opposition is largely absent from the regime change.

Historically, the alliance lasted as long as a sigh —or better to say that it lasted as long as a military bugle note—, or more precisely: as long as it took Alito to bend his neck, genuflecting with which he finished dragging the PRI and PAN. Few will really miss them.

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Source: EL PAIS


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